Now there are several things that tell me this is the issue that will decide the course of the election.
- It's the economy stupid - It worked in 1992 for Clinton, it will work for McCain in 2008.
- Drill Here, Drill Now, Pay Less - Newt got it right on this one by reducing it to a simple phrase, which encompasses simple supply and demand.
- MoveOn(left).org - A letter sent out by the leftist organization states: "Here's the truth: Right now, progressives are losing this argument." 'Nuff said.
- McCain figgered it out - here's someone that's taken pride in pissing on his party on critical items to get handjobs from Teddy Kennedy and the like. He's running with it. And it may do the trick
Guesstimation - A prediction derived from a combination of estimates and formulas based on estimates, formulas, and flat-out guesses. The result is a number that, with tweaking, produces the desired statistic, which may be either completely accurate or glowing plaid manatee shit.
I could do pages (and probably will one day) on the climate change hoax alone. We're talking an assload of models that haven't proven to be accurate. But that's another post.
As is virtually every statistic the federal government produces for the future. Social security, poverty, the budget, Iraq. You name it, they've probably miscalcualted something somewhere, because guesstimation involves tweaking.
But it's in the bickering about how much 'Drill Here, Drill Now' vs 'Inflate Here, Tune Now' that we seethat the numbers don't meanin a plate of piss on a Thurday afternoon. Because, whether it's 5 cents in 7 years, 3% reduction in gas through tires, 10 years since the drilling moratorium, "record profits" on a 7% margin, or 20 representatives standing in the House screaming for Nancy Pelosi to come back to Washington and vote, it's the appearance that Washington has its collective thumb up its ass while our gas prices have doubled that has pissed people off.
So with numbers being thrown about and ignored, I go to my instincts. I've found I'm pretty good at pulling predictions out of my ass without clear numbers. My gut says that Congress unleashing the freedom to drill will nose the price. And if we unleash EVERY SINGLE IDEA THAT WILL POSITIVELY IMPACT THE PRICE OF ENERGY, then the price will nosedive. And anyone who seems to be standing in the way of getting that price down will be tossed in the political gutter like dignity after a date with Paris Hilton (HILTON '08 - Holy Shit).
The candidate who can best articulate a solution to the prices will win the election. It's that simple.